The exception is the summer thunderstorm season where the forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. Southern Arizona is a mixed bag in the winter sometimes you can get a nice, mild winter or a chilly, snowy one! That contrasts sharply with a likely warmer-than-usual February along the northern Gulf Coast, including Florida. The coldest periods will be in late November, mid- and late December, and mid-January. The full-year 2022 figures for these figures came to $2.33 and $2.11 per diluted share, for y/y gains of 16%.The funds from operations figures are important because they fund UDR's dividend. 3rd Coldest January- February on Record in 2021. Get more stories delivered right to your email. February climate data and outlook across southeast Arizona. The 2021-22 water year ended up on the dry side with 6.97" being reported at the airport. Welcome back to the site after the holiday week. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 0.75" to 2.50". Dating back to 1910, every year has had a least one daily rainfall record be broken. This is the second consecutive October to be below normal. The seasonal average temperature of 55.3 goes into the record books as the 13th warmest on record, tied with Winter 1942-1943 & last winter. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.19" which ranks as the 29th driest March on record, tied with 1949 & 1966. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of two-thirds of an inch (0.67") is two inches below normal and ranks as the 9th driest January through May period on record. Over the last 14 days there was only one day that was above normal. For a more accurate weather forecast please select a city, Click on a day for an hourly weather forecast, Royal Palms Resort and Spa, part of Hyatt. La Nia is expected to be the main driver for the third winter in a row. The impacts from the cold plunge resulted in a multi-billion disaster, with Texas especially hard-hit. What is the average temperature in Arizona in January? The deep monsoonal moisture that was over the area for most of the month started to dry out during the last week of the month under a drier upper air pattern. CLICK HERE TO GO, The following articles were talked about in this write-up, November 5, 2021 This is the 7th June on record in which the monthly low temperature did not fall below 65. Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite winter towns in Arizona to get some ideas. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 77 on the 7th to a low of 31 on the 2nd. Check out the full 2022-23 Extended Winter Weather Forecast from The Farmer's Almanac below. As we mentioned above, one of the best things to do in Arizona in the winter is camping and/or hiking, but of course, there are more! The recently released NOAA U.S. Winter Outlook made the predictions Thursday, bringing the news that widespread extreme drought is expected to persist throughout the West. The seasonal average temperature of 71.0 goes into the record books as the 5th warmest Spring on record. The average yearly temperature through the end of November of 72.9 ranks as the 11th warmest on record. The average yearly temperature of 60.6 is a half of a degree ABOVE normal and ranks as the 12th warmest on record, tied with 1996, through the end of April. Some of our favorite winter destinations in Arizona include the adorable little town of Flagstaff, the amazing Mount Lemmon in southern Arizona (the drive up alone is incredible), and mountain towns like Payson and Prescott. National Weather Service Every year, the Farmers Almanac, which has been printed since 1818, attempts to answer that question with weather predictions based on generations of perception, experience, and common sense, according to its website. For the most part, it looks like fairly, you know, pleasant, quiet kind of weather in September and a good part of October, Geiger said. Geiger explained that the almanacs predictions come from a formula created by the first editor of the publication, who was a mathematician and an astronomer. The average yearly temperature, through the end of October, of 74.4 is 0.9 above normal and ranks as the 7th warmest on record. Heading into the last month of the 2022 Monsoon the September monthly outlook, issued by the Climate Prediction Center, called for "leaning above normal" for precipitation and temperature. Toggle navigation. And I will say, it looks opposite of December 2021s with a different atmosphere and this is for both Southern California and Arizona Weather Force so read on for details after the first paragraph . See more current weather Annual Weather Averages in Sedona Airport Sedona Airport is 29 miles from Arizona, so the actual climate in Arizona can vary a bit. World; United States; Arizona; Weather in Phoenix; Weather in Phoenix in November 2022. The first day of winter and the shortest day of the year, officially arrives on December 21, 2022, but that doesn't always mean that the cold temperatures and snow storms will wait until then. According to the Farmers Almanac winter weather forecast for Arizona, the 2022-2023 winter season will be a milder affair this year though drier than average, too. Multiple locations were found. PHOENIX It's a wet start to 2022 across Arizona! The Tucson International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 1.27" which is around a third of an inch above normal and ranks as the 37th wettest December on record. The periodical says it. While there were no companion predictions for central and southern Arizona, Geiger said the cold from the north will likely permeate the south, making it comparatively cold for the states lower deserts. Search. So here is the breakdown If you want to fix your roof, this is the best month to do so just in-case feb/mar/apr become active again, Southern California CPC forecasts, thanks to weakening La Nia conditions in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, probabilities leaning for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for most the remainder of the year. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. No matter how you like your winter, youre sure to find it in Arizona. And that would bring a significantly colder risk to much of the northern U.S. this winter, according to Crawford. While the Southwest will likely escape the brunt of the onslaught of winter, we certainly arent in the clear either. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 43% chance that they will end up above normal and a 24% chance that they will end up below normal. In other words, it will be cold in the area. About the author Related Posts Farmers' Almanac Staff Thanks to the new warmer 30-year climate normals, which went into effect last year, the average yearly temperature this year through the end of March is below normal although it was warmer than two years ago (56.8 vs 56.5). The monthly average temperature of 89.1 is 3.0 ABOVE normal and ranks as the 5th warmest June on record. On the 6th, the 20th & 21st and the 28th & 29th. The first five months were rather dry with the airport only recording 0.67" or 2" below normal. . This ranks as the 5th warmest monsoon on record, tied with 2011. Global emissions have grown in most years since 1900 and have accelerated over time, according to data from IEA. HOME > Outlook Maps >Seasonal Forecast Discussion. A high minimum temperature of 59 on the 4th broke the old warm low for the date of 56 from 1946. Temperature extremes for Fall ranged from a high of 103 on September 6th to a low of 36 on November 26th. The wather in Arizona in February can vary between cold and nice weather days. A warmer February is also possible from the mid-Atlantic states into the rest of the Southeast, Southern Plains westward into New Mexico and eastern Arizona. The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days. . SUMMARY OF THE OUTLOOK FOR NON-TECHNICAL USERS. The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) forecasts enhanced probabilities for above normal temperatures for the entire year. Arizona winters aren't known for being white or cold, but this is getting ridiculous. La Nia - the periodic cooling of the equatorial Pacific Ocean waters - is in play as one of the primary drivers for the winter outlook once again this year. OnlyInYourState may earn compensation through affiliate links in this article. Rainfall amounts across the metro during the first three months of the hydrologic water year has ranged from 1.10" to 3.50". NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued a La Nia Watch on Thursday for the potential re-emergence of La Nia conditions by the fall. NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? Click Here To Join The Page Today. If you're looking forward to snow, mark January on your calendars. Fall was dry with above normal rainfall returning to the area during December. You also get the member section, which has controllable models like rain, wind, snow, in high resolution along with a GPS feature which is updated when an event is in the area The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded a trace of rain which is well below normal and ranks as the 16th driest November on record. National Weather Service NWS Tucson Arizona 520 North Park Ave, Suite 304 Tucson, AZ 85719 (520) 670-6526 Comments? Get the latest articles, videos, and news about Washington State on Flipboard. On your streaming device:Download 12News+ to your streaming device. Please Contact Us. The official start of fall is only about a month away, with the Autumn Equinox on Sept. 22. Thank you! The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 47% chance of above normal temperatures and a 45% chance of below normal precipitation. Meanwhile, the Southwest and much of the Rockies are most likely to see December end up warmer than usual. Could Arizona be in for another dry winter, leading to even worse drought conditions? For the first time since 2004, the average Fall temperature was below normal. Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. The most frigid weather will likely arrive in late January, and it could be rather brutal. This is the most of any calendar month thus far in the 21st century. It's the 13th April with ZERO rainfall. video. Or rather when will it finally feel like fall? Snowfall will be below normal in most areas that normally receive snow, with the snowiest periods in early to mid-January and early February. READ MORE Monday, March 28, 2022 Flagstaff Weather -- March 28, 2022 Rainfall occurred across the metro area over three time periods during the month. Fetch the Scottsdale, Arizona daily observations from AerisWeather. I think we do a pretty good job, Geiger said. An statistical oddity occurred in 2022 in that not one daily rainfall record was set at the official recording site. The average yearly temperature of 56.8 is six-tenths of a degree BELOW normal and ranks as the 27th warmest on record through the end of March. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration The average yearly temperature, through the end of August, of 73.5 is 1.0 above normal and ranks as the 6th warmest on record. Yuck. On average, there are 0 snowy days in Arizona in January. Even though our winter is forecast to be on the mild side, it won't be without a few cold spells. Published: Aug. 10, 2022 at 5:21 PM PDT (Gray News) - The Farmers' Almanac is predicting a frigid winter for most of us here in the U.S., along with brisk temperatures. Normal rainfall for December 0.96". While this isn't always the case every time La Nia is present, it is representative of the average impacts. NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022; Local Programs. Its the best time of year to visit if youre a fan of hiking, for example. Elizabeth Hoy, a senior scientist at NASA,. That means that La Nina is NOT controlling the current weather pattern for the season thus far. The first month of 2023 might start out a little mild on the country's eastern half, but it's expected to be stormy and very, very cold by the middle and end of the month. 830 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023. A couple of weak weather systems moved across the area on the 28th through 30th bringing the area another shot of valley rain and mountain snow. (Weather station: Payson, USA). The 30-year-old Musgrove is coming off the best season of his career and a stellar postseason run that included 7.0 dominant innings in a winner-take-all Wild Card Game 3 against the Mets in New York. Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded just over a half an inch /0.53"/. Desert biome, Organ Pipe Cactus National Monument. The monthly average temperature of 71.8 is just under four degrees above normal and ranks as the 4th warmest April on record. In a couple of words: its nice! Avg Low Temps 35 to 50 Avg High Temps 15 to 25 Avg Low Temps 0 to 10 Rain Frequency 1 to 3 days Click or Tap on any day for a detailed forecast. The bottom line, according to Crawford, is this eruption isn't expected to be a significant influence on this winter's weather. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.90" is just over 2" below normal and ranks as the 7th driest January through June period on record. With that being said, the colder than normal temperatures are already being felt in both regions. NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? Man shoots, kills victim outside of a Phoenix . The yearly rainfall total of 6.14" at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, ranks as the 15th driest January through October period on record. A first look at Winter 2022/2023 forecast shows an obvious influence of the third-year La Nina phase. Colder weather is predicted to come in between Nov. 16 and 19 and settle in for good come Nov. 24 to 27. Get Downloadable Images and More Here. Gilbert teen's dream comes true as he takes the field, Suspected drunk driver dies after crashing into Tempe bus stop, police say, Wet weather forces SRP to release water from Bartlett Dam, La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, Heat-related deaths hit historic high in 2021. Editor's note: The above video aired during a previous year's forecast. The second Pacific storm of the month moved across the area on the 12th bringing with it widespread valley rain and mountain snow. The average yearly temperature, through the end of June, of 68.5 is 1.3 above normal and ranks as the 7th warmest on record. The atmosphere's response, which ultimately matters for our weather patterns, may resemble a winter without a La Nia. In a couple of words: its nice! There are indications that weak cutoff systems under the raging jet could bring more precipitation to Tucson than say even Phoenix, but the amount just doesnt look so high, but bears watching for that area sometime mid-month. . This is when you get these delivered to your e-mail of choosing AND get your own micro-climate alert system based on your zone for my winter and storm alert products that are not posted on social media when issued. According to the Farmers' Almanac winter weather forecast for Arizona, the 2022-2023 winter season will be a milder affair this year - though drier than average, too. What are some fun things to do in the winter in Arizona? Give Light and the People Will Find Their Own Way. If you click here, this is exactly what my model showed, which is telling me further that we remain on track to keep getting the long range right. The free 12News+ app from 12News lets users stream live events including daily newscasts like "Today in AZ" and "12 News" and our daily lifestyle program, "Arizona Midday"on Roku and Amazon Fire TV. That's more in line with what's typically expected in La Nia winters. Additionally, there were five record temperatures that were either set or tied. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 36% chance that they will end up above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. Above normal moisture values for early October combined with several atmospheric disturbances moving across the area produced isolated to scattered showers or thunderstorms on a daily basis during the first ten days of the month. Meanwhile, the southern U.S. is expected to have a. The combined two-day rainfall totals for New Year's Eve/Day across the metro area ranged from 0.50" to 1.50" with the bulk of the rain occurring on New Year's Eve. What is the chance of rain in Arizona in January? Precipitation: Equal chances use the map provided below. As is usually the case during the summer thunderstorm season rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from 3.00" to 9.00" with localized amounts between 9" and 11" along the lower elevations of the Catalina and Rincon mountains. August 29, 2022 NOAA's 2022-2023 Winter Forecast The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ( NOAA) makes long-range forecasts each month. With a colder air mass in place, high temperatures were in the 50's from the 12th through 16th with daily lows in the mid 20's to mid 30's from the 13th through the 17th. Last year, the Almanac predicted many of the 2021-2022 winter storms, most notably: the early-season nor'easter in the end of October, and the unusual blizzard in the last week of April (in parts of Montana, Wyoming, and the Dakotas). Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 104 on the 6th and 30th to a low of 70 on the 23rd. The video covers both precipitation and temperature predictions, polar vortex, arctic blasts, typical snowfall, and regions that will see wamr and dry conditions for winter 2022 - 2023. During 2020,2021 and the first half of 2022 . Weather forecasts that start where the others stop. For more detailed information, click the link below. September climate data across southeast Arizona, Fall climate data across southeast Arizona, September records more triple digit high temperatures than August. Additionally this is the fifteenth April in the past seventeen that the airport recorded below normal rainfall. The forecast for precipitation is a 45% chance that they will be above normal and a 22% chance that they will end up below normal. He also said that in its more than 200 years of printing, only seven people have done the weather, with each working for about 30 or 40 years andthey have applied that sameformula. This is in sharp contrast to the previous water year which was rather wet with the airport recording 14.23". The drought classification for the area degraded to D2 (Severe Drought) during May. The widely followed youtube weather channel, is calling for a mixed bag of weather this upcoming winter season. There were five days that recorded freezing low temperatures at the airport which is up from the three that occurred in the previous winter but down five from the 1991-2020 normal period. Arizona weather in January 2024 The temperatures in Arizona in January are quite cold with temperatures between 48F and 66F, warm clothes are a must. According to the CPC, there is a tendency for back-to-back La Nia winters which increases forecaster confidence in the probability that this coming winter will indeed be another La Nia winter. Precipitation across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 1.75" to 4.00" with the highest totals occurring north of Tangerine Road extending east from Dove Mountain in Marana to the northern part of Oro Valley. The stream has the latest alert links, a map of alerts and where, and articles. Questions? According to The Farmer's Almanac, Arizona's 2021-2022 winter season will bring along a "polar coaster" with temperature swings lasting well into March of 2022. The Tucson International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, has recorded 1.80" which is four-tenths of an inch below normal and ranks as the 57th driest first quarter of the water year on record. While it's true that large volcanic eruptions have historically had a temporary cooling effect on earth's climate, that's not the case for the Tongan eruption. One of the strongest thunderstorms of the month hit the airport on the evening of the 23rd with a wind gust of 76 mph. Winter- It's Coming! The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be above normal and a 33% chance that they will end up below normal. The only significant difference between this winter's outlook and the outlook for 2020-21 is that the chance of above-normal temperature is about 5-10% less than it was last winter, likely the result of somewhat higher above-normal temperature thresholds due to the change in long-term averages described above. View detailed forecast, WeatherTAB 2023. For us across the Southwest, La Nia typically brings drier-than-normal conditions during the winter. Nearly 10,000 power outages were reported in Arizona Wednesday as a winter storm passed through the state, one of many places in the U.S. dealing with winter The temperatures in Arizona in January are quite cold with temperatures between 9C and 19C, warm clothes are a must. Learn everything you need to know about the Grand Canyon State's ever-changing forecasts here. 47.9 Degrees C is 118.2 degrees F. Wow! But there is a new ocean anomaly emerging that will also play its part. 2023 www.azcentral.com. Evening Weather Forecast - 2/26/23. The previous highest amount for October was 7 days in 1983, 2000 & 2015. One daily temperature record was set. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area with totals ranging from 0.20" to 1.75" with localized higher amounts to 2.50". Will the huge Tongan volcano eruption last January have a role? ARIZONA WEATHER FORCE MAIN: Arizona Weather Force Office Main Page For updates. Essentially, the formula uses sunspot activity andthe effect the moon has on the earth to be able to predict weather about two years in advance. "The eruption of Tonga back in January will likely not cool the climate, given it was an underwater volcano that ejected water vapor, rather than particulates, into the stratosphere; on the contrary, given water vapor is a greenhouse gas, it may have a warming impact on the climate over the next few years," Crawford explained. July climate data across southeast Arizona. Dry and warmer temperatures were on tap from the 17th to the 22nd. Hourly forecast for 08.02.2022. By weather.com meteorologists October 13, 2022 At a Glance A generally colder than usual winter is expected in the northern tier of states. Since we never quite know what to expect, this upcoming season couldn't possibly catch us off-guard right? Discover our growing collection of curated stories on Washington State. Dry conditions prevailed from the 11th to the 14th before an upper level low moved across the area bringing scattered showers, isolated thunderstorms and small hail on the 15th & 16th. This led to isolated areas of heavy rain and flash flooding along with hail. This has also occurred in August 1963 & February 1905. Backed by the 5th warmest June and 7th warmest July and the warmest Summer average low temperature on record (tied with 2020), Summer 2022 goes into the record books asthe 3rd warmest Summer on record, tied with the Summers of 2013, 2015 & 2019. It ended being the coolest Fall since 2006. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, was on the dry side as just over one and a third of an inch /1.34"/ was recorded. The states climate is varied and unique, featuring many different biomes and environments. Five record high minimum (low) temperatures were set or tied during the month. Our weather forecast can give you a great sense of what weather to expect in Arizona in January 2024. The seasonal average dew point value was 19. Amounts ranged from 3" to 8" with localized higher amounts up to 12". Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area as is usually the case during the summer thunderstorm season. During the first 16 days of the month, no below normal highs were recorded. HOT TOPIC: 2021-2022 Seasonal Weather Forecast Released For Southwestern United States; Detailed Maps and Discussion Within, November 29, 2021 This is the 2nd most number of days during Summer on record but well behind the record of 33 days set in 2020. No rain was recorded across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS. Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite, We say absolutely! Which City Is the Worst for Fall Allergies This Year? Please try another search. Climate Predictions 6-10 Days 8-14 Day Climate Probability Official 30-Day Forecast The above maps are from the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.67" is 1.81" BELOW normal & ranks as the 9th driest January through April period on record. Los Angeles had near 9.50 of rainfall during the month alone with a normal amount of 2.48, which is unprecedented and will be the third highest amount during the month of December since records began, only behind 1989 and 2010. On average, there are 1 rainy days in Arizona during January. MAIN WEBSITE: Dont forget. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. The forecast panned out well with Winter 2021-2022 coming in warmer and drier than normal. These drought conditions developed after a drier-than-normal 2020 monsoon season and a dry 2020/2021 winter season. Keep in mind this outlook is an overall three-month trend. Meanwhile, the southern U.S. is expected to have a warmer than usual winter. As if unprecedented flash flooding during this years monsoon season wasnt enough to deal with, it looks like Arizona might get a little reprieve from extreme weather in the winter. Another quiet period followed through the 18th before returning to the daily threat of showers and thunderstorms as moisture lingered across the area through the end of the month. Since it was a colder one than earlier in the month, snow levels at times reached down to the valley floor with some light snow occurring on the east side of the metro area. The Winter seasonal forecast for the area, issued November 18th, called for a 41% chance of above normal temperatures & a 48% chance of below normal precipitation. The Climate Assessment for the Southwest (CLIMAS), a well-established and innovative inter- and transdisciplinary climate research team, is looking for a Program Manager to join our team. I hope you had a great Christmas and a Happy New Year so far. Weather Forecast Office. The airport two-day total of 0.74" ranks as the 3rd wettest New Year's Eve/Day on record. The forecast panned out well with Spring 2022 coming in warmer and drier than normal. Crawford's expectation for a stronger polar vortex this coming winter implies colder air will overall be bottled up in more northern latitudes. Three temperature records (one high & two warm lows) were set or tied. Thus expect the consecutive year streak of above normal temperatures to be extended to 25 years. Temperatures: Below Average, Arizona A generally colder than usual winter is expected in the northern tier of states. Perhaps the snow will even reach the desert lowlands! Mostly cloudy. Dry with above normal high temperatures from the 5th to the 11th with highs in the mid-60's to the lower 70's. The yearly total to date currently stands as the 7th driest year with one month left in 2022. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be up below normal and a 33% chance that they will end up above normal. Not all risky days will have rain/snow. Click on the images below for the year, monthly and seasonal snapshots! Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers Almanac,said there wasnt much particularly interesting or new forecasted for the area this fall, with generally fair weather from September through October. We know that finding the ideal hotel in Arizona can be a hard task Thats why we run our special tools and found the best hotels in Arizona. Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. Geiger said the almanac predicts snow this winter in northern Arizona between Nov. 20 and 23, and snow in higher elevation areas would continue into early December. Click on the images below for larger view. Please try another search. No matter which part of Arizona youre from (or plan to visit), winter is a great time to arrive. Calendar overview of Months Weather Forecast. Two-thirds of climatological Fall is in the books and 2022 ranks as the 15th warmest & 56th driest on record with one month left to go. My model is showing drier than normal conditions for most of California, majorly drier than normal for Southern California than Northern. However, January should at least be somewhat colder than usual from parts of Washington state and northern Idaho to the northern Plains, much of the Midwest and interior Northeast into northern New England.