Fame, Betting Basic will show standard stats figures such as wins, runs, strike rate, A/E and profit. (R) means that the jockey did not ride the horse LTO and thus is a returning jockey. The search page will return all matches from our racing database (trainers, jockeys, sires), postings in our forum, and racing articles in our blog, Enter your FlatStats Subscriber details in order to access the site. Only horses with at least 5 runs included. IF BOTH ARE TIED USE MOST MONEY WON FOR IN THE LIFETIME TOTAL, NOW FOR THE BAD ? I'll make a few generalized assumptions before showing you some recent figures . Never take a short price on an 100.00%. IT PAID $96.00 AND ANOTHER I REMEMBER FOR $76.00 BUT THE AVERAGE IS For Latest News Visit Our Facebook . Horse Handicapping Articles (click to view/read) Making a Betting Line Success And Luck Turn Time - the hidden fraction Track Specific Spot Plays No Easy to grasp the concept, but so obvious that it is often overlooked, or under-valued in relation to other more esoteric factors to be considered in a race. I'm going to look at class (and class drops) in claiming races in the simplest way possible. A dropped head is a sign your horse is relaxed and feeling good, and his ears will often hang to the side as well. . Distance wins are from both all weather and turf. Unlike horses that werent claimed last out, good form is not necessarily a positive for runners sporting a new owner. If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather A class drop is always an important factor in handicapping a race. involved. Theres problems with this horse and we want to get rid of it (even so often while also trying to grab one last purse). Throw in a Do you have stats such as % of top weight winners in handicaps & nurserys? Class drops are just one approach. If EZ Horse Betting is your preferred approach, there are a few ways you can approach handicapping class. Stats, One Ride Runners, Available Data Thats an amazing statistic with A horse is said to be moving up in class (or jumping) when it moves from one set of race conditions to another, such as from maiden special to allowance, or from a claiming race for $25,000 to one for $35,000. Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. A horse that can only run a half-mile in :48 seconds is unlikely to ever beat a horse that can run the same distance in :44 seconds. There are literally thousands of horses that race each day in America and abroad. Because we look at the participants and not the labelling. Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the first time but has previously worn different headgear. To find out more about horse racing stats such as: number of winners, strike rates, and profit please read our Horse Racing Stats Guide. Got any racing systems or stats questions?Email: q198 = 'frank';n278 = 'flatstats.co.uk';document.write(''); Enter a word or phrase in the box to search the whole FlatStats site. View the current list of horses around Australia who are dropping in grade from their previous runs. ineffective conditioner. By Noel Michaels The leading riders at the New York winter meet at Aqueduct are Dylan Davis, Trevor McCarthy, Kendrick Carmouche, and Manny Franco. Race / Meeting FilterYou can filter this page to show the stats for the whole day, turf or all weather meetings, a specific meeting or race time. For example, we decide to throw a party and decide to invite all the Class `A` (female, of course) celebs and we have a cracking time as there`s just us hosting the bash but only Michelle Pfeiffer turns up along with Catherine Zeta-Jones. TrForm If a horse in relatively good form faces weaker competition, it's logical to believe that the lesser competition will enable the horse dropping down to shine. Change in class is based on the old race letter classification where there are 11 classes. The favorite must have at least tactical Analysing huge priced winners tipped on FlatStats, Mark Johston out of form going into Glorious Goodwood, Draw Bias for the major Group 1 races at Epsom, Racing Data Charts - Avg SP of Group Favourites, Trainer, Owner, Sire, Jockey Stats for York Racecourse, Horse Racing Stats for 4th Mar 2023 - All Meetings. Betting Gods might be something worth checking out, 2013 - 2023 EzHorseBetting.com. Minimum of 30 runs to qualify. Guest are limited to viewing 3 items per table. . Race Competition Level (RCL) for Past Performances. Stats, Trainer View the daily list of Horse Racing Grade Droppers. By developing products like BetTurtle, our goal is to make horse racing more rewarding for our customers. We support responsible gambling, so in case you require information about gambling addiction or need support please use the link BeGambleAware. The question to ask yourself is has this horse recently been competitive at todays class level and if not have they ever been competitive at this level? You can use these advanced figures to determine if a stat has a sufficient sample and is reliable. Win Rate: 17.5%. Stats, All Green Horse Maybe someone has already done some work in that area. individual. Your email address will not be published. The negative drop down angle seems to have lost its bite in recent years.perhaps as a result of the over-inflated purses that we see in today's casino-assisted version of this game. and is ready to compete. out of that horse and cant recover in 30 days or less. The Accuracy Nobody gives anything away at the racetrack. Raw Adj In most cases, their odds line is accurate in determining the race favorite. coming off a layoff. Trying a New Distance or Surface Today (Three-year-old and two-year-old races earn higher RCLs as the year progresses, to reflect both the maturation process and the increase in number of horses racing. Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt Cards, Search Knowing about Street Shark's performance exiting the July 23 race, I could not possibly understand why the horse that beat him was suddenly be dropped in class. Handicappers, Well If today's race is on turf then only the jockey and trainer combination turf stats are shown. fail in any one area, toss them out. 4-1 TO 5-1. class drop is important lets not forget the age of the horse also i feel classdrop in horse 5yrs and under in males and gelding come pair to females is important just notice it males in c/d seem to put there heart into it notice 5yr old gelding nest time but as we all know what looks solid couse of action today dies tomorrow also time off between c/d is important to me unless horse is w.o. NEWS.. country to country. Any horse trying a new distance today sprint-to-route or vice versa is a risky Claiming races are those in which the horses entered are for sale. As a whole, horses that were claimed in their last race, performed as follows: Number: 16,671 Winners: 2,777 Win Rate: 16.7% $2 Return (ROI): $1.59 (-20.57%). Stats, Trainer National Hunt Runs For more help with this page, which includes an explanation on the basic / advanced stats and sample size / confidence figures please click the help icon in the menu bar. Table ranked by win strike rate. today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. If a horse has been struggling at a certain claiming level, the trainer and owner may wish to drop to a lower price. Click the Reset Button to clear existing filters. Cards, Search ]]IN THE LAST RACE ARE CLOSER TO THE WINNER THEN THE 2CD LAST RACE BACKITS A CONTENDER . Maidens typically improve in its second life time start. e) Low-priced claiming levels ($5000 or less) with restrictions such as non-winners of a One who wins 8% of their starts or less within the last year defines a losing trainer. [email protected], Introduction Trainer, Course Stats By representation or endorsement of any activities offered by any reviewed racebook or ADW. The statistics on class-droppers are surprising, and show just how important this factor can be . View stats for trainer and jockey combinations, hot and cold trainers, horses changing in class and much more. w/r/c Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. A similar race at Turf Paradise is rated at 130. The times to play these horses are when the odds are acceptable to offset the risk Ratings, Course Stats By Flat Runs includes runs from both flat turf and all weather. Once we find such a favorite, this is the type of race we If not, you can probably skip this one :-) However, it is about emotions and over-arousal . 1 in Kentucky Derby Top 10. Many angles (I.e.) If a horse is dramatically dropping in class. I certainly applaud that kind of research and do some of it myself. Trainer, Trainer All Weather away from the post-time favorite as much as possible. Read more about Sample Size and Confidence Figures. Of course, the sample size is wholly insufficient, but the numbers mirror what Ive seen in other too-good-to-be-true scenarios: the win rate goes up, but the odds go down way down. It really is that simply. d) First condition allowance races where all the horses have showed they can not win at Those stats are eye-popping. You Bet, you WIN, you GET paid. If you follow the punters which read the classification of the event as being the indication of class then it has dropped in class. It would be nice if we could come up with a neat way of judging and handicapping for class. In horse racing these skill levels are known as class. Below areraces fromthis past Sunday, July 22. Jockey, Jockey All Weather Stl The only way to make money at the racetrack is to think and act differently than your Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. The first race back has already taken too much Yet favorites do win races, generally Handicappers, Well either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. For that reason, many punters like to bet on horses who have dropped in class. Runners, Shrewd Trainer Easy to deposit & Withdraw. Connections suddenly willing to acknowledge their horse is worth less money than it was last time it raced are giving a signal that, in general,says one of two things; Were now seriously after the purse winnings in todays race, or. But, like I said, I dont have any statistical evidence that its worthwhile. Bovada is our favorite pick for USA Bettors! CPos e.g.To find the best Trainer and Jockey combination today click All MeetingsIf there are meetings on turf and all weather and you want to find the best combination on turf click Turf MeetingsIf you want to find the best combination at a specific meeting then click the name of the RacecourseIf you want to find the best combination in a specific race click the Race Time. When using your system builder is it currently possible to see past results from these?? race. The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. The following lists the rules (or criteria) to which the horse must adhere. Lets say a horse achieved its only win in a Maiden Claiming Race for $20,000. Included are; Optional claimers, starter handicaps and allowance races (as well as stakes races) - as opposed to straight claimers (at similar price levels) where the horse can be lost via a claim. Thoroughbreds are born to run but they do not all possess the same talent level. Within each of these categories are also many levels. Race Level Changers, Good Performers Last Course Stats, Latest type of race generally puts an emphasis on late speed in a race. Top 10 rider or a Top 10 trainer and you have a probable favorite in the race, especially if it is The question will invariably be posed, how do you evaluate a graduate in terms of class. First Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt -. Results, Course If you're handicapping for "price horses" - class droppers should be given extra consideration. coming off a good race (win or in the money finish). I am also a keen racehorse owner and have worked in the gambling industry for several years. Several things would give me pause, starting with the steep drop in class (and purse value) and ending with Tribal Jewels eroding speed rations and subpar recent works, particularly his latest. Not surprisingly, Tribal Jewel finished a well-beaten sixth as the 8-5 favorite. Has the party dropped in class or has it stayed the same? The higher the number, the stronger the race. Heres an example. Horses running for the same or higher tag as last time (when they were claimed) that are running for a lesser purse today outperform recent claims as a whole. I GOT A SYSTEM LONG AGO THAT WAS CALLED THE DROP DOWN COVER UPSYSTEM. The game revolves around money in every regard. By assigning a numerical value to a race it allows the you to easily discern the quality of one class of horses from another. No Recent Victories b) Open claiming races where no entry in the field has ever won for this claiming price Just outside the top tier of horses in the 2022 Kentucky Derby odds is Zozos (39-1), whose owners, Barry and Joni Butzow, hail from Minnesota. Are there any easy-to-spot signs that make a suspicious drop in class following a claim, well, suspicious? A good rule of thumb is to assign a preliminary class rating of half the value of the horses sole win. Betting class will also help you to eliminate horses from contention. The best of the best wind up in the National Football League. Stats, Jockey Flat speed where it can lay close to the pace (within three lengths at the first call). Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the second time but has previously worn different headgear. Stats, Longest this level. Jockey, Jockey All Weather There are so many possible factors for consideration when handicapping a horse race and such a multitude of opinions on how to best handicap the races key factors are often lost in the haze of information overload. All major credit cards are accepted & Bitcoin. Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather The trainer decides that a class drop is in order and enters the horse in a $10,000 race. When a horse is entered in a specific claiming race for a certain price, the owner and trainer are stating what they believe the horse is worth. Kids begin to get serious about the game in high school. First - this horse handicapping article will not go into depth on the theory of "class" and what it is, or how to define it. the influx of information available to the average player today. 4. horse comes from the clouds, toss out. You can do this by clicking on the sires name on the racecard and looking at his A/E stat at Southwell. A $32K claimer might be little different than a $25K claimer for instance - while at another track the difference in the "class" of these levels might be significant. With the To find out, I consulted my racing database and heres what I found. However, if its first race back has been stressful (dueled with At Turfdom, we have come up with a number of proven rules to The fastest athlete wins. Stats, Tipping Hall of US Racing is not a racebook or ADW, and does not accept or place wagers of any He is listed as xB. Note that AW will include both Fibresand and Polytrack results. Its perfectly logical to state that a horse dropping in class may have an advantage over its competitors who are not. The horse has been doing well. Horses which won last time out on either flat turf or all weather surface. Copyright 2023 British Racecourses - britishracecourses.org is intended for the sole use of the individuals over 18 years of age. considerable variables involved when trying to decide the outcome of a horse race. Race Ratings, Race Title Fearless Knight: Sunshine Coast Race 4: $1,970,000: 6,567%: 1. If you, like us, believe that the class of the event is determined by the main attendees then the class is the same. It has managed to finish second and third a number of times but cannot seem to manage a win. Heres an example of how a class drop in claiming races works. 3]IF MORE THAN ONE PLAY IN A RACE.. THEN TOP HORSE IS THE ONE WITH THE MOST LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT AT THE FINISH!! Stl% Trainer Take action today, and your horse handicapping, and horse racing betting will make a huge leap into the profit zone. Koulds Scoring Second Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. c) Any race in which none of the participating horses can run to par for that given a) Raced with 17 days Ratings, Course Stats By Course Stats, Latest Class Changers. proposition. Eclipse Sportswire. He is listed as xB. Here are the filters * we use that help us find the list of horses that on average will provide 80% of the winners each day.. Alternatively, you can read the Cafe Casino review first. Ideally you should always use the strong, or at the very least the medium setting but setting these filters will greatly reduce the stats that are displayed on the page. Value Stats, Tipping Hall of Therefore, horses in a $10,000 claiming race can be bought by anyone with an owners license and $10,000. "Horses dropping by 30% or more win 378% of their rightful share of races!". Period. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer type. "Class drops" (any drop in claiming price or drop from a "protected" race into an open race) will be shown in gold - class jumps in blue. WtD IVE STUDIED OVER >>500 OF THESE TYPES RACES,,,,,, You can access these pages by browsing the Stats section of the menu bar. I set up British Racecourses with the desire to share my passion for racing with other like-minded people. Flat Runs will then indicate how many runs they had on flat turf. Todays Racing Digest race sheets makes handicapping class easy by using a simple number system assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. How often does the 3rd fav win over all races flat and national hunt. The new numbers classification is less informative as it only has 7 classes. Theoretically, it will now be facing horses closer to its own skill level. m/f Travellers, In Form Trainer The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racings most reliable betting angles. Another option: Try BETUS! The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. Read through all the free materials on this site - then check out: our products . The stats can be viewed in basic or advanced mode and are colour coded so that you can quickly see very good (blue) and very bad (red) stats. Toss it. Welcomes global players. By developing products like BetTurtle, our goal is to make horse racing more rewarding for our customers. given date. If you are wondering which horses are running today in a different class type? we have you covered. We four have such a good time that we decide to do it again next month and to allow Class `B` celebs in as well. No jumps or overseas figures used. Stats, Jockey Flat Claiming races works similar to the allowances except the owner must sell the horse in claiming races for the price entered at and these class varies in two ways: 1st; the lower the claiming price the lower the class these horses will usually run against, and 2; the N/W 1, N/W 2, N/W 3, etc are the lowest to the best in each claiming level . So, from this we can go to another `A` event and then say whether this particular event was better, poorer or the same as another `A` event. Musselburgh 13:50. Seems like I see winning efforts off that 2nd attempt all the time. We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. Stats for combination runs. The same principle holds true in horse racing. I've presented this short research only to make a generalized point: A layoff is defined as 90 days or more. The two races are of completely different classes. Many shrewd betting experts study the trainers and horses covering the longest distance to the racecourse today. Lacking a Good Activity Pattern Saddled by a Losing Trainer Alternatively, you can read the Bovada Racebook review first. Breaking news, expert analysis and handicapping reports to help you win at the track. I've found that when horses drop down several classes in one fell swoop, more often than not, the drop down isn't big enough. But it got me wondering? Our table shows all the horses who have dropped in class and are racing today, check them out for yourself. As the Founder of British Racecourses, I have a life-long passion for horse racing and have loved the sport as long as I can remember. Your email address will not be published. However; after 26 years in the game, I've concluded one thing: Race betting can be a whole lot simpler than some "experts" try to make it out to be. Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt Toss it. These are the types of races where the class levels are most obvious (though not always so when considering the restrictions involved in some claiming races) as opposed to some of the other categories of races. This is a class drop. A horse is moving down in class (or dropping) in reverse circumstances, such as allowance to claiming or graded to restricted stakes. Remember, should it must be 5/8 or more. Allowing for the draw bias, visualise the running of the race. 8 We at UK Horse Racing think not. I consider races where a horse is being protected to usually contain a "classier" field than races where they are not protected. Click here to visit Bovada! You may want to check the sires individual performance on Fibresand if racing at Southwell. Interestingly, Bella was claimed in this race as well and, on Nov. 15, 2016, competed in a $10,000 claiming affair for a $30,000 purse. been proven, year after year that favorites lose 67% of the time. These races make up the majority of races at any race track on a given day. W-R figures obtained from flat turf and all weather runs. Stats, One Ride Changers, Good Performers Last Two of which Graduates have just one win on their past performances and there is usually not much data to evaluate. Wins at the course (all weather track). ; Click the Horse filter button. U.S. Results. . Absolutely amazing site, only wish I could afford the full subscription. Since the Grade I race is five points higher than a Grade II race, the Grade I race is considered to be one class level stronger than a Grade II race. This is called the To make it easier to compare races run at different tracks the RCL is based on the strength of the race and not necessarily just the class structure and conditions of the race. Accepted. Why not Subscribe Now and view the full stats for today? 6. Make a note of horses that are dropping in class, who ran a speed rating faster than class in their last race and those that are well handicapped. Chaotic Races 9 The best way to bet a drop in class is to find horses that were 1st, 2nd, or 3rd in their most recent race at a higher level. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Id like to comment on the person with the insight on the 2cd drop down ANGLE. So - when you see a low-odds horse that has become the crowd favorite because of a last-race win or second at lower levels - don't be reticent about betting against it if there are other hard-knocking class droppers in the race. Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. Results. Run, BetTurtle Horse Only horses with at least 10 runs included. If you have a horse who drops, you'll know what I'm talking about! Download Todays Racing Digests Race Class Level Chart. The