There isnt anything I can do to change it or to make it better by voting.. Ron DeSantis, Miller said he likes Gov. Nothing is free, Hawker said. Paul hopes that one day he can save enough money to buy himself a car, so he can drive to Florida and reunite with his family. I think its very political right now, honestly. Seasonal businesses such as ferries, dairy docks, ice cream stands, Cheesehaven, and fudge factories, are closed. Over the same time period, Democrat registrations have dipped from 9,526 to 7,576. Ottawa County in Ohio has been on target every four years since 1964, and Bexar County in Texas (San Antonio) has had only one miss since 1928 (preferring the Democrat Hubert Humphrey in 1968). Racine County, WI might be the single best bellwether: if it called all the elections with missing data elections correctly, it would have 86% correct. In 2016, nearly 100 million eligible Americans didnt vote. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. Theyre scared. The bellwether scores map highlights the fact that many states have a good bellwether county or two, even if they did not make the list of the 19 counties which have always voted for the winning candidate, they said. Theres too much corruption. Shepherds family, on the other hand, wasnt much interested in politics. But the thing that stuck out in my head, every time I read or listened to anything about [Obamas] policies, I saw such a deep revival of division, causing division between the blacks and the whites again, Jacobs said on Sept. 17. But according to the. You have to take the lesser of two evils. For Brendon, another resident of Riley who declined to disclose his last name, his spiritual belief will lead him not to vote at all this year. Weve never done that before.. I feel that if Trump is president again, that will cease. But, he said, most mainstream politicians dont represent rural America, and issues such as boys that identify as girls and then compete in girls high school sports just smack of stupid., The economy and taxes are important issues to him, but the question he asks of the candidate is, Does this person care about my family?. The county is more white than the rest of the nationabout 87 percent, compared to 76 percent nationally, according to census data. Its crazy. Westmoreland is the only one in the South; Clallam is the only county on the West Coast, and Hidalgo and Valencia are the only counties in the Mountain West. In particular, recent research which identified nineteen bellwether counties found that they "tended to be whiter, older, less educated, have lower median incomes, have a lower percentage of workers in the labor force, and have higher rates of vacant housing than the country as a whole." Only one, Clallam County in Washington, went for former Vice President Joe Biden and only by about a 3 point margin. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. TERRE HAUTE, Ind.For well over a century, voters in Vigo County, Indiana, have backed the winner in almost every presidential election. Were a service industry-oriented area. I think they [the current administration] are trying to push us into buying electric cars. In 2020 the expansion also began generating $898,000 a year for the next 15 years for Lake Local Schools. In Ridgway, Biden supporters were more difficult to find and more reluctant to talk than Trump supporters, but a few yard signs were dotted around. Instead of guns and bullets, hes bringing our troops home, hes ending wars. Since picking the winning candidate in Democrat Lyndon Baines Johnson in 1964, it has deviated from the winner only twice. The insulting back and forth really bothers me about any candidate, Myers said. Shepherd said being able to bear arms is of particular importance now and she fears Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden would restrict that right. Before the 2020 election, Clallam was one of 19 counties with an unbroken record of voting for the winning presidential candidate since 1980. Those dollars wont be there, because people will be buying gas. It bisects six counties Hillsborough, Polk, Osceola, Orange, Seminole and Volusia but is far bigger than the . For example, a county might be said to be a "bellwether county" if it consistently votes the same way as the majority of the state. I dont watch TV. This includes personalizing content and advertising. As the 2022 mid-term elections near (May 3 in Ohio), one might think that the Republican and Democratic headquarters might be open and in full swing, but at both party offices the week of Feb. 21, the lights were out and no one was occupying the desks inside or answering the phones. They run the gamut from. Competing for the Democratic nomination are John Cranley and former Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley. Bellwethers arent a crystal balltheir streak was expected to end sooner or later. They take pride in going to work, owning their home, having that simple life. They need to take care of the older people here. Hawker told The Epoch Times he voted for Trump in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, and if he wouldve been re-elected, the country wouldnt be facing the problems they are having now. Haotian Chen University of California, Irvine The way the system works now, if you get in as a young person on something small, its very hard to get out. She registered as a Democrat about 40 years ago and has never bothered to change her affiliation, although she voted for Trump in 2016 and plans to do the same this year. When there was, we were making money pulling people out of ditches.. Things have been bad for so long, they dont care.. (Cara Ding/The Epoch Times). Chamberlin, who has worked for the regional chain for 17 years, estimates he has saved about $2,000 in gas over the past year. Wolf has allowed for the counting of ballots to continue for three days after Nov. 3, meaning its unlikely that a winner will be called in Pennsylvania for at least a week after the election. Meanwhile, Miller and Zulch voiced their support for restarting the Keystone XL pipeline to help the United States return to energy independence and provide oil to European countries experiencing gas shortages and high prices. . Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. Our model also links this decline to increases in polarization. It is as if the devastating rebuttals by Tufte in Data Analysis for Politics and Policy or the equally devastating review of the evidence in David A. Hopkins 2017 book Red Fighting Blue never happened. This includes personalizing content and advertising. The Epoch Times - YouTube Vigo County's most recent winning streak ended this year, as it did for nearly all the country's reliable bellwethers, most of them blue-collar, overwhelmingly white communities in the Rust Belt. Hes organizing a Second Amendment rally in Ridgway for Oct. 17 to make sure gun rights are fresh in peoples minds when they head to the ballot box. Carol Jacobs and her husband were lifelong Democrats until 2016. I hope.. March 3, 2023 Updated: March 3, 2023. Getting fertilizer can be a challenge.. While the Royal Drive In has been in the family for 60 years and serves a steady stream of local regulars, Martin says she wont recover until at least next summer, when she can get an extra boost, especially from traveling Canadiansas long as the border is open. With respect to the notion that bellwethers are demographically representative, this appears not to true. What are bellwether counties and can they actually predict elections Today, there are also 14,183 independents registered to vote and five libertarians, according to the Ottawa Countys Board of Elections website. The county, which includes spring and summer destinations such as Kelleys Island, Marblehead, and Put-in-Bay, currently is in hibernation. Biden has talked both ways, so its hard for me to really grasp where he is on the issue. The last time Ottawa County deviated from its winning choice for president was in 1960 when the county supported Republican Richard Nixon, but Democrat John F. Kennedy won. Perhaps that is why they are a true bellwether county, not fully committing to one political party over the other. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Review: At Fall for Dance, Resilience Takes Center Stage In West Terre Haute, across the Wabash River from Terre Haute, Bobby Tisdell, a 38-year-old forklift driver, plans to cast his first vote on Election Day. But thats not the picture I look at. By registering for the newsletter, you agree to the, New Crew From US, Russia, and UAE Arrives at Space Station, LIVE NOW: Biden Awards Medal of Honor to Retired Army Col. Paris Davis, We Have to Pay Our Sins: Lawmakers Must Negotiate Way Out of US Debt Crisis: Sen. Manchin, Suspect Charged After Chicago Officer Dies After Shootout, Nevada Approves $330 Million in Tesla Tax Abatements Over Gigafactory Expansion. We have to figure out a way to control fuel prices. (Cara Ding/The Epoch Times). Trump is a person who just couldnt accept defeat, Ellithorpe said. Our roads need to be fixed. We are a rural county here, Hill told The Epoch Times. This year, Vigo went for Trump by nearly 15 points, roughly the same as in 2016. He won nineteen-to-twenty bellwether counties. He has since assessed each candidate on their moral stances, he said, rather than by party affiliation. Taking the pulse in Vigo County, Indiana, which has voted for the presidential winner in all but two elections over the past century, Cara is an Orange County, New York-based Epoch Times reporter. And its never going to come back.. I vote for whoever I think is going to do the best job, Sam added. Like all-or nothing bellwethers, counties that closely tracked the election for 12 consecutive elections failed to continue that form for a 13th time. And to force somebody to do it, it just makes even less sense, because this country is supposed to be free.. Weve always had a mix of voters, Baumgardner added. The Republican has been a big supporter of water quality on Lake Erie, and were looking to get another candidate that sees that as a priority.. Bremer County, Iowa The county, located along the Illinois border, has a mix of rural and urban demographics. And then theres Vigo Countyin Indianathe quintessential bellwether that has correctly picked the winner in all but two elections since 1888. A bellwether is a leader or an indicator of trends.. He doesnt take the money; hes got the money. Port Clinton, Ohio. The United States needs to get back to where were responsible, energy independent, and get away from the thought process of these liberal socialists in office., Government is out of control, he added. He was working on his neighbors lawn when he paused to talk to The Epoch Times. The 19 bellwether counties are highlighted in red. Nestled along Lake Erie in the northwest of the state between Toledo and Cleveland, the area has a population of 40,364, according to the 2020 Census. Understanding the I-4 corridor's bellwether mojo requires defining the area.