We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Scottish independence. Scottish election 2021: Polling expert says SNP majority 'on a knife-edge' Small movements in the polls between now and May 6 could make an "important difference to the outcome", according to . (Excluding Dont Knows the margin is just shy of 70/30, very similar to the margin by which people in polls oppose self-ID generally. The leader of the SNP has insisted her party was "not divided". Please click 'Create Account and Subscribe' to create a new account and subscribe to our email alerts. Please read our privacy policy and terms of use before signing up. The poll was conducted for The Sunday Times over the past week as a review for the Scottish Prison Service found that the process of admitting transgender people to prisons should be improved in the wake of the Isla Bryson case. Under this unlikely but not impossible scenario, the Electoral Calculus seat predictor says Labour would end up with 37 Scottish MPs, the SNP would have 10, the Tories seven and the Lib Dems five. Elsewhere, the Lib Dems have 9 per cent of the vote (-1), but could be well placed to pick up vital seats in the Blue Wall, where voters would sooner pinch their nose and vote amber over red. Most of the pollsters listed were members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abided by its disclosure rules.. A poll of more than 1,000 people . Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2%. If you can, please show your appreciation for our free content by donating whatever you think is fair to help keep TLE growing and support real, independent, investigative journalism. ", 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill, COVID-19 vaccination in the United Kingdom, Opinion polling for the 2014 Scottish independence referendum, https://www.supremecourt.uk/cases/docs/uksc-2022-0098-judgment.pdf, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Opinion_polling_on_Scottish_independence&oldid=1142782908, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK and the European Union, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK but part of the European Union, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has some taxation powers, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has no taxation powers. Reform UK are also polling in the region of 6-7%. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted a fortnight after Rishi Sunak became prime minister, shows Labour maintaining a significant lead over the Conservatives. However, coinciding with the roll out of the coronavirus vaccine and the conclusion of Boris Johnsons Brexit deal at the end of 2020, the Conservative party once again opened up a significant election poll lead over Labour. Polling for the Welsh parliament election is less extensive than what is available in Scotland. A survey for YouGov gives the SNP a vote share of 36 per cent, with Labour on 33 per cent, the Conservatives on 19 with the Lib Dems just ahead of the Greens on seven and five per cent respectively. Rather than experience a new prime ministerial bounce, in September 2022, the picture was not positive for Liz Truss. Our current polling average is based on polls by Savanta ComRes (fieldwork completed May 4). Published by Statista Research Department , Feb 15, 2023. Ben Walker is a senior data journalist at the New Statesman and writes extensively about elections and UK public opinion.
This includes a majority of those who agree the people should be freely able to express their transgender identity.
Scottish election 2021: Polling expert says SNP majority 'on a knife The Conservatives have climbed by three percentage points to 33 per cent since the last poll. Only 44 per cent of those most likely to back the SNP said the same. Consumer packaged goods (CPG) Eating & drinking. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. To donate or subscribe to The London Economic, click here. However support for Scottish independence grew significantly during the 1980s, particularly as Margaret Thatchers tenure in office continued. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' what number would you consider yourself to be?". Britain Elects deals in poll aggregation alongside analysis of upcoming elections and the state of British public opinion. However, it follows two other polls published in the last 48-hours that have put Labour well ahead of the Tories. Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to No and Yes here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. CalMac warns of further disruption to ferry service due to lack of backup ferries, The ferry operator is facing frequent issues as it has to constantly repair the aging fleet which is blighted with problems due to the lack of back ups, Scottish lags misuse 4.1million taxpayer-funded mobile phones more than 7,000 times in three years, More than 4,082 inmates have been caught out for using mobile phones paid for by the taxpayers to commit crimes while in prison, Iconic Glasgow bakery Mortons Rolls 'ceases all trading' after 58 years. Dates. Crucially for the Union, the SNP would be some distance off a majority share if the election was to be regarded as a 'de facto' referendum on independence, as Nicola Sturgeon has suggested.
Opinion polling for the next Scottish Parliament election Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' what number would you consider yourself to be?". The previous YouGov covered the 23rd - 26th of January. A YouGov poll shows 56% of Scots support the . Easy-to-digest video clips. Two new UK-wide opinion polls have added weight to the growing belief that Labour would be close to catching the SNP if a General Election were held anytime soon.. A survey for YouGov gives the SNP a vote share of 36 per cent, with Labour on 33 per cent, the Conservatives on 19 with the Lib Dems just ahead of the Greens on seven and five per cent respectively. Related: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. A YouGov poll for the Times, reported today, found that nearly 50% of voters in Scotland who plan to vote Tory are doing so primarily to prevent a pro-independence majority in Holyrood. SNP MP apologises over ignorant racial slur, Boris Johnson may have misled parliament on several occasions, Billionaires should not exist Bernie Sanders, Bernie Sanders issues stark warning to Brits over NHS, Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives, Elevenses: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. Jeremy Corbyn is not allowed to stand as a Labour MP at the next election would he still get your vote? In the midst of the coronavirus pandemic, one in which the Scottish government took responsibility for the handling of the virus in Scotland, there were signs of sustained backing for Scottish independence for the first time.
Tory Votes: YouGov Poll Shows Rishi Sunak Losing Leadership Race in Respondents are asked Which of these statements comes closest to your view? ), Lord Ashcroft poll, reported in Holyrood on 13 Feb 2023Full results. The YouGov polling for The Times also suggests widespread public dissatisfaction with the government's economic plan. With the Russian invasion of Ukraine heavily dominating the UK news agenda, the position of the UKs political parties became somewhat becalmed during the spring on 2022 with no notable movements in the polls. The Boundary Commission is currently in the midst of a review designed to better equalise constituency sizes. All Rights Reserved. New projections based on YouGov polling suggest the Conservative Party could be reduced to the UKs fourth-biggest party at the next election. In 2022, the level of people polled citing dont know has fluctuated around the 5%-8% level.
Support for Welsh independence at its lowest level for three years, St Poll tracker: how will the SNP fare in Scotland's May elections? The new offer will see teachers getting a 12.3% increase by April 2023 and it will rise to 14% by 2024. It found that the yes vote was ahead in only one age group, amongst 25-to-39-year-olds, while in all others no. A band of rain, sleet and snow is expected to move south during Monday followed by frequent snow and hail showers, Ken Bruce leaves BBC with veiled jibe after they ended his show early over concerns was free advertising for a rival, The 72-year-old Glaswegian left Radio to join Greatest Hits Radio in April after the Beeb told him to step down 17 days early, Teaching strikes held off as union on brink of striking pay deal. It found 72% of voters - including 69% of those who voted Tory in 2019 -. What has happened to the once-great British Airways? This once again reaffirms how sleaze and scandal remain the most potent political weapons in British politics, ones which can quickly and easily cut through to voters. Worst-case scenario could see 120,000 Covid-19 deaths this winter scientists, Watch: Gary Neville slams PM as he rages over brutal UC cut, French border guards warn this will be what it is like after Brexit.
Worst polling for Yes since 2019 as SNP support continues to drop, poll @britainelects. A high percentage of respondents agreeing that people should be free to express their transgender identity does not however translate into support for reforming the Gender Recognition Act based on self-declaration. Trump.
Latest Scottish Independence Opinon Poll Data - Which Side Is Ahead? Changes are shown as (vs that poll / vs last election). Where does the public really stand on womens rights and proposals to reform the Gender Recognition Act? For Women Scotland, conducted by Panelbase, reported in the Times, 18 Dec 2021Data, MurrayBlackburnMackenzie, conducted by Survation, Nov 2021Report I Data.
Shock poll finds Tories are heading for near total wipeout in Wales Scotland should remain part of the UK without an elected parliament. By clicking 'Create Account and Subscribe' you agree to us creating an account for you and subscribing you to our newsletter in accordance with our Privacy Policy and Legal Notice.Emails, which may be sent daily or less frequently, may include marketing elements. Britain Elects. Across the whole of the UK, the YouGov poll conducted on November 1-2 predicted Labour way out ahead on 50 per cent of the vote (down one point) and the Tories marooned on 25 per cent (up one point). Once again the responses vary with exactly how the question is asked. In the run-up to the next Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polls to gauge voting intentions.Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Another. As always you can unsubscribe at any time. YouGov poll, reported in the Telegraph on 31 Jan 2023Full results, The Times poll, conducted by YouGov, reported on 21 Jan 2023, Wings Over Scotland/The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 19 Dec 2022: Why do SNP voters hate women?, The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 17 Dec 2022, The Times poll, reported on 16 Oct 2022Full results. The poll, commissioned by WalesOnline has found support for the Tories in Wales now sits at just 19%.
Voting Intention: Con 25%, Lab 48% (9-10 Nov 2022) | YouGov The Conservative party regained a minor amount of ground in the first 3 weeks of the Rishi Sunak premiership, but Mr Sunaks honeymoon period has been short lived, and those advances stalled soon after Jeremy Hunts financial statement. Polling of British voters on whether the United Kingdom should rejoin the European Union. A new opinion poll has found that support for the Tories in Wales is in freefall. Combining deep sector expertise with local knowledge to provide you with a deep understanding of your industry. Polling conducted before the 2014 Scottish independence referendum can be found here. About; Social . The tide may be turning on Nicola Sturgeon and the Nats as a YouGov poll suggests the party could lose 23 seats while another UK survey suggests a collapse to just TEN MPs at the next General Election. YouGov: The Times: GB 2,003 23% 46%: 9% 4% 7% 8% 3%. In the aftermath of the 2019 General Election, the Conservative party enjoyed a healthy lead in the opinion polls. Sturgeon Still Scotland's Most Popular Politician Despite 12% Margin Against Independence, Lesley Riddoch: A Nordic solution to Scotlands invisibility within the UK, Tories could be reduced to third UK party, shock opinion poll warns, Nicola Sturgeon responds to popularity rating drop amid trans prisoner row. In the case of Northern Ireland, with its own political parties, Politics.co.uk has drawn on the LucidTalk opinion poll of 3 February. The Yes side grew further, in the aftermath of the 2016 Brexit referendum, in which Scotland voted to remain in the EU. Results are limited to only those who state they will definitely vote. Could Labour Profit From Nicola Sturgeons Resignation? By the second half of 2020, in November 2020, the Yes campaign reached a record level of 56% in the polls. The pollster found. Scottish Independence Poll Methodology: The above analysis of support for Scottish independence draws from the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Survation, ComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Panelbase, Detlapoll, Opinium and IpsosMori. Although these recommendations are yet to be finalized, the next General Election will almost certainly be fought on a redrawn constituency map. But we can't do it without you.
Scottish independence polls & surveys | YouGov This Conservative poll lead coincided with the unusual event of a governing party winning a seat from the Opposition, as occurred in the May 2021 Hartlepool by-election. Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . In results published for the survey taken March 24-25, 2022 . The former SNP Westminster leader claimed he had not spoken to Nicola Sturgeon and Peter Murrell about the Police Scotland probe into the party's 'missing' 600k. Under the current polling, Labour is on course to win seats in parts of the country where it has always been a distant spectator, such as both Bournemouth constituencies in Dorset, Macclesfield in Cheshire, Aylesbury in Buckingham, Southend East in Essex, Weston Super Mare, and Bromley and Chiselhurst in south east London. Given that the parliamentary results in Wales and Scotland are influenced by the existence of a fourth major party (Plaid and the SNP), Politics.co.uk has undertaken separate analysis for swings in Welsh and Scottish constituencies. In all polls the dont knows are removed. YouGov poll: The mental health and wellbeing of employees are not supported by legal firms Law News 15:47 3-Feb-23. At the end of the 1970s, support for Scottish independence was polling at little more than 10%. Education. % 28 45 9 4 1 3 7 2 Con Lab Lib Dem SNP The main table includes primarily those polls which ask the same question as the 2014 referendum: "Should Scotland be an Independent Country?". The result of an IndyRef today 2 March 2023. However, following the Scottish parliament election of May 2021, one in which Nicola Sturgeon continued in government albeit in coalition with the Scottish greens , there have been signs of a slight drop off in enthusiasm for Scottish independence.